Is Your Business About to Stall?

The US economy is in a slow period. As corporate leaders explain their flat or low growth performance, fingers are pointing to oil prices, lack of job growth and, of course, that sub-prime mortgage business. 

Published on: Monday, March 17, 2008       Comments (8)       Category: FinanceManagingOrganization & Logistics
Posted by: Lauryn Franzoni
 

How will the global economy and specifically, US indicators affect your business performance?

Leave us a comment and tell us:

Yes, the economy will affect my business and here’s how:

No, the economy really isn’t worrying me, here’s why:

I’m worrying about other things and they are:


Join the discussion that’s developing in the comments section of this entry:

“I am in the recruiting industry at the senior executive level and despite what the press states about a lack of job growth and a slowing US economy, I expect my business to be solid this year.  I expect my growth this year to be about 10% which clearly is slower than each of the last 2 years which was more like 20-25%.

Others I speak with ask, how can this be.  Aren’t we in some sort of a recession and isn’t the hiring market weak with the job market?

The fact is that many of my client companies in the US are not dependent totally on the US marketplace.  The worldwide economy is still strong even as the US slows and they are focusing accordingly on their growth areas.

There also is still growth in US industry sectors like healthcare, biotech, and energy --even as the financial services & housing sectors, that we read about everyday, deteriorate rapidly.

One suggestion to those small and growing businesses that are wondering what to do as the US economy slows:  avoid being trapped in a no-growth segment.  Look for growth and customers in niches and with companies that are still growing.  Target, target, target!

That is what I do.  Internationally based companies are probably doing better than those serving solely the financial services marketplace.  Even those in financial services that made the right bets on sub-prime are probably doing things differently than those that did not.

One way to survive in a no-growth market is listen to your customers and don’t believe everything you read in the papers.  Reporters typically sell newspapers by doom and gloom or over they over accentuate the upward trend.  There are often hidden opportunities if the “herd is going in one direction”.  Caution:  I do admit that I’ve yet to find it productive to stand in front of an approaching freight train!  Hope this helps.”
—Mark Andrews

“Mark, I agree. It’s easy to start believing all the doom and gloom.  Laurence Haughton is a business coach who works with companies to achieve their toughest targets and we asked him whether he thought the economy was going to have a negative impact on growing businesses.  He says it’s actually rare for business results to be affected significantly by external events.  Here’s a quick clip of what he said:

http://www.execunet.com/execunet_ondemand/FTDISC1HAUG_Discussion_1_030608_Haughton.mp3

For a more in-depth view of how to grow your company in these uncertain times, visit the Resource Center and download our hour-long conversation with Laurence Haughton.”
—Lauryn Franzoni

“I agree with both of you. Regardless of what is being discussed in the press, anyone is subject to a slow down if we become complacent in any part of their company or specific function in the organization. A refocus on productivity, stronger marketing and development are always keys to success. As the old axiom goes you are either moving forward or you are moving backward. If the economy is truly going to effect a business or industry, effort must be increased and creative opportunities must be explored. Involving ones stakeholders in evaluation and decision making is always a positive opportunity to ferret out the issues.”—Rodney Holt





Comments
Mark Andrews
02:51 PM on 03/12/08

I am in the recruiting industry at the senior executive level and despite what the press states about a lack of job growth and a slowing US economy, I expect my business to be solid this year.  I expect my growth this year to be about 10% which clearly is slower than each of the last 2 years which was more like 20-25%.

Others I speak with ask, how can this be.  Aren’t we in some sort of a recession and isn’t the hiring market weak with the job market? 

The fact is that many of my client companies in the US are not dependent totally on the US marketplace.  The worldwide economy is still strong even as the US slows and they are focusing accordingly on their growth areas. 

There also is still growth in US industry sectors like healthcare, biotech, and energy --even as the financial services & housing sectors, that we read about everyday, deteriorate rapidly. 

One suggestion to those small and growing businesses that are wondering what to do as the US economy slows:  avoid being trapped in a no-growth segment.  Look for growth and customers in niches and with companies that are still growing.  Target, target, target! 

That is what I do.  Internationally based companies are probably doing better than those serving solely the financial services marketplace.  Even those in financial services that made the right bets on sub-prime are probably doing things differently than those that did not. 

One way to survive in a no-growth market is listen to your customers and don’t believe everything you read in the papers.  Reporters typically sell newspapers by doom and gloom or over they over accentuate the upward trend.  There are often hidden opportunities if the “herd is going in one direction”.  Caution:  I do admit that I’ve yet to find it productive to stand in front of an approaching freight train!  Hope this helps.



Lauryn Franzoni
03:39 PM on 03/12/08
Rodney Holt
07:51 PM on 03/12/08

I agree with both of you.  Regardless of what is being discussed in the press, anyone is subject to a slow down if we become complacent in any part of their company or specific function in the organization.  A refocus on productivity, stronger marketing and development are always keys to success.  As the old axiom goes you are either moving forward or you are moving backward.  If the economy is truly going to effect a business or industry, effort must be increased and creative opportunities must be explored. Involving ones stakeholders in evaluation and decision making is always a positive opportunity to ferret out the issues.



Paul Fitzpatrick
03:58 PM on 03/13/08

Energy prices will be the damper on the consumer economy in the US.  Increasing gasoline costs will have to be passed onto the next level at every level in the supply chain - and consumers ultimately pay.  They will be forced to cut back spending in other areas to stay afloat.  Add to that the increasing numbers of homeowners choking on increases to their variable rate mortgages and by 2009 we will see a US economy in big trouble.  Too many consumers are already over-stretched on their credit situations.  The so-called stimulus package will not have the desired effect. 

That said, there will be key components of the eceonomy that will still thrive.  Several biotech companies are on the brink of major advances in Alzheimers and Cancer therapies. Alternative Energy companies are likely to be dealing with the greatest problem in the world - too much demand.  While early, nanotech continues to show astounding progress and may just be the sector that leads the US out of the mess - several years down the road.

Opportunities exist in abundance for people who have updated their skills and enacted the courageous decision to make positive changes in their careers.



Dave Opton
09:26 AM on 03/14/08

Given the media’s propensity for hype one way or the other, I think things will play out somewhere in between but it feels more on the downside than up.  I also agree with Paul Fitzpatrick’s comment, there are sectors that will continue to grow and represent significant opportunity for both the growing businesses and the human capital they will need.



Carl Brown
10:56 AM on 03/18/08

While the long-term implications of Wall Street’s latest financial crisis remain largely unknown, history has proven that the economy’s prospects are never as good (or bad) as the headlines might suggest.



Anthony Marconi
12:18 PM on 03/18/08

Dave and Carl make a good point.  Every headline you read screams recession,or as you guys state “Doom and Gloom,” however there are definitely industries that will continue to grow no matter what the economy is doing i.e. healthcare. For the most part, I think it’s obvious that no one is being helped by the lagging economy and maybe an investment in human capital as Dave suggested is the perfect way to plan for long-term growth.



Joe Malta
06:42 AM on 03/19/08

Within the healthcare sector, there are many opportunities for emerging, small and mid sized health care companies to enter specialty markets, with niche products, that might not be blockbusters but certainly can generate profitable revenue growth relative to lower operating costs. This creates opportunities for experienced, high performing professionals who can make an immediate impact.





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